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\uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uc5b8\uae09\ud55c\ub300\ub85c \uc774\ubbf8 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\uc218\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uc911\ub2e8\uacfc \uc18d\ub3c4 \uc870\uc808 \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc62c\ud574\uc548\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \ub2e8\ud589\uc758 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ubb3c\uac74\ub108 \uac14\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uc544\ub3c4 \ubb34\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5b4 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.
FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc774 \uacf5\uac1c \ub410\ub294\ub370 \uc8fc\uc694 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc740 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc9c0\uc18d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae30\uc5c5\uacfc \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \ucc28\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74, \uac1c\uc778\uc2e0\uc6a9\ub3c4\uc5d0 \uc57d\uac04\uc758 \uc545\ud654 \uc9d5\ud6c4, \ubaa8\uae30\uae30 \uc5f0\uccb4\uc728\uc758 \uc18c\ud3ed\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc99d\uac00, \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \ub300\ucd9c \uc5f0\uccb4\uc728\uc774 \ud39c\ub370\ubbf9 \uc774\uc804 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc99d\uac00 \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc62c\ud574 \uac00\uacc4 \ub300\ucd9c\uc758 \uc9c8\uc774 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc545\ud654\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc774\ub2e4.
\ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uc800\uc774\uba70 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uac10\uc18c\ud574 \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138 \uc720\uc9c0\ub85c 2025\ub144\uc774 \ub418\uc5b4\uc57c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uac10\uc18c \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\uc5d0 \uc774\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\ub9ac\ub77c \uc608\uce21 \ud558\uc600\ub2e4. \uadf8\uc5d0\ub530\ub77c \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc911\ub2e8\uc758 Pivot \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc811\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uace0 3\/6\/9\/12\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc8fc\ubaa9\uc774 \ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4.
3\uc6d4\uc5d0 0.5% \uc778\uc0c1\uc124\uc774 \uac15\ub825\ud558\uac8c \ub300\ub450\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ub2e4\ud589 \uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4\uac74 0.25% \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uadf8\uce60 \uc608\uce21\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\ub294 \ud615\uad6d\uc774\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ub144 \ucd08 5-5.25%\uc758 \ucd5c\uc885\uae08\ub9ac \uc608\uce21\uc774 \uc810\uc810 \ub192\uc544 \uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \ud544\uc790\uc758\uacac\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 6% \ud639\uc740 \uadf8 \uc774\uc0c1\ub3c4 \ub300\ube44\ub97c \ud558\ub294\uac83\uc774 \uc77c\ub2e8\uc740 \ud604\uba85\ud55c \ud310\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\ub8cc\ub41c\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4,6\uc6d4\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uae30\ub300\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud55c\ub9c8\ub514\ub85c \ub178 \ub79c\ub529No Landing \uacf5\ud3ec\uc758 \ud655\uc0b0\uacfc \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc758 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ud655\uc815\uc2dc \ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
\ubc18\uba74 \uc774\ubc88 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ud558\uae30 \ub3c4\ud45c\uc640 \uac19\uc774 \ub2e4\uc18c \uac10\uc18c \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc544\uc8fc \ubb34\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uac08 \uc218 \uc5c6\ub294 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub3c4 \uc810\uc810 \uace0\uc2ec\uc774 \uae4a\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ud615\uad6d\uc774\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 4.5%\uc774\uace0 1\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900 \ucd1d CPI \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 5.9%\uc774\ub2e4. \ub0a8\uc740 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589Bank Of Canada\uc758 \uc62c\ud574 \uc77c\uc815\uc740 3\uc6d4 4\uc6d4 6\uc6d4 7\uc6d4 9\uc6d4 10\uc6d4 12\uc6d4\ub85c 7\ucc28\ub840\ub098 \ub0a8\uc558\ub2e4. \ucc38\uc870\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d FOMC \uc62c\ud574 \ub0a8\uc740 \uc77c\uc815\uc740 3\uc6d4 5\uc6d4 6\uc6d4 7\uc6d4 9\uc6d4 10\/11\uc6d4 12\uc6d4 \uc774\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc774\uc790\ub960 \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ubcc0\uc218\uac00 \uc5c6\uc73c\uba74 \uc911\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud45c\uba85\ud55c\uc9c0 \uc5bc\ub9c8 \ub418\uc9c0\uc54a\uc544 \uc62c\ub9ac\uace0 \uc2f6\uc5b4\ub3c4 \uadf8\ub7ec\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub9ac\ub77c\uace0 \uc608\uc0c1 \ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \ub41c\ub2e4\uba74 4\uc6d4 \ub2a6\uc5b4\ub3c4 6\uc6d4\uc5d4 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubc30\uc7ac\ud560\uc218 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774\ub2e4.
\uc62c\ud574\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558\ub97c \uae30\ub300\ud558\uae30 \ud798\ub4e4\uace0 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc62c\ud574 1% \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc5fc\ub450\ud574 \ub450\uace0 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc5ec \uc9c4\ud589 \ud558\ub294\uac83\uc774 \uc88b\uc744\uac83 \uac19\ub2e4. \ud56d\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uc545\uc758 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \uc548\uc804\ud558\uace0 \uadf8 \ucd5c\uc545\uc758 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \uc548\uc624\uba74 \uae08\uc0c1\ucca8\ud654 \uc774\uaca0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uacbd\ud5d8\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \uc9c0\ub8e8\ud558\uace0 <\/strong>
\ud798\ub4e0 \uc8fc\ud0dd\uc2dc\uc7a5<\/strong><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

\ubc31\ud64d\uae30 \ubd80\ub3d9\uc0b0 honggi@honggibaek.com<\/p>\n

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